The majority of Bulgarians see a real threat to our country from the conflict in Iran, but it seems that they do not feel such a personal threat. The risks to the country are realized, but they clearly do not translate into awareness of a risk to themselves. These are some of the conclusions from an independent survey by the sociological agency “Measure“.
The conflict in Iran and the Middle East represents a real threat to Bulgaria, 52.3% of those surveyed agree, and 29.1% are of the opinion that the conflict in Iran and the Middle East does not represent a real threat to Bulgaria. The rest hesitate in their answer.
The race to reach 4% is contested. Several political forces have a real chance of achieving a result that would allow them parliamentary representation
Does the conflict pose a personal threat – this question causes more hesitation. 30.7% accept the opinion “The conflict in Iran and the Middle East poses a real threat to me personally“, but 44.6% hold the opposite opinion: “The conflict in Iran and the Middle East does not pose a real threat to me personally“.
Of course, the youngest are also those who hesitate in their answers to a greater extent. At the same time, the feeling of threat to the country seems to be higher in the capital city at the expense of smaller settlements. This may have its objective prerequisites, but it may also be due to the concentration of politicized strata precisely in the capital – with a more active attitude to the processes.
The data are from an independent study from the regular research program of the sociological agency “Measure“. The study was conducted “face to face“ with tablets between March 7 and 16, 2026 among 809 adult Bulgarian citizens. The maximum statistical error is ±3.5 at 50% shares. 1% of the entire sample equals nearly 54,000 people.