Artificial intelligence predicted when and how the war in Ukraine will end, UNIAN reported, quoted by NOVA.
The chat bot tried to give its version based on the analyzes of international institutions (ISW, CSIS, RAND Corporation, RUSI), the assessments of political scientists and military experts, economic and demographic data, as well as the mood of the allies and the internal situation in Russia and Ukraine. As a result, the GPT-4o chat gave several options for how the war in Ukraine will end.
► „Korean“ scenario
According to AI, the probability of such a development of events, when the front will be „frozen“ approximately in the current positions, is very high. The fighting may continue locally, but it will not lead to major changes. Russia will retain the occupied territories, Ukraine will not admit defeat, but the de facto situation will be “preserved“.
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► Military victory of Ukraine
The GPT-4o chat considers this option quite realistic, although with medium or even low probability everything depends on the support of the West. Despite the fact that our country will win, artificial intelligence does not see any possibility of returning to the 1991 borders in the short term. It calls the deoccupation of some regions more realistic, but not Donetsk, Lugansk or Crimea. According to AI, in 2025 Many analysts consider such a scenario possible only if the current balance of power changes due to the collapse of Russia or a radical increase in assistance from the US or the EU.
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► Peace agreement under the terms of compromise
The third scenario will become real if Ukraine temporarily agrees to a ceasefire, officially maintaining a course to restore territorial integrity. Russia, the chatbot writes, will remain with internal problems, but will look for a way to “freeze“ the conflict without defeat. Support from the US or the EU can be given as an ultimatum - in exchange for agreement to the conditions proposed by the Russian Federation. This scenario, according to analysts, could be realized in 2025-2026.
► Internal collapse in Russia and a sudden end to the war
The last option for how the war in Ukraine will end is a potential crisis of power, an uprising of the elites, or a collapse of the Russian economy due to sanctions, which will lead to the impossibility of continuing military operations and, therefore, to a quick capitulation. The GPT-4o chat considers this scenario unlikely, but refers to the words of analysts. They allow such a development of events, but definitely not before the end of 2026.