The picture is clear from the point of view of the winner of the elections, but this does not at all answer the question of what type of government we will see after them. This was commented on in the program “The Live Day” on NOVA NEWS by political scientist Assoc. Prof. Milen Lyubenov. According to him, it will largely depend on the election results what configuration the next ruling majority will form.
“I expect surprises in voter turnout, namely an increase. It is possible that it will exceed three and a half million. When voting abroad, many times more applications for voting are seen,” said the political scientist.
Assoc. Prof. Lyubenov was categorical that with higher voter turnout, small formations will not jump the barrier. According to him, even “Vazrazhdane” with higher voter turnout it will be around the barrier.
The political scientist also commented that in the last two weeks of Rumen Radev's campaign, the tone towards PP-DB has become much more acute and the former president sees them as an opponent, not a partner, calling them "assembly workers". “This is probably an attempt to increase the result of ”Progressive Bulgaria”. However, talks will have to be held after the elections, because no matter how much the result for Radev increases with higher voter turnout, he would hardly have 121 deputies and would have to look for partners”, said Assoc. Prof. Lyubenov.
According to him, the photo of Radev and Vladimir Putin at the closing of the ”Progressive Bulgaria” campaign is not accidental. In his words, it is a strategy and an attempt to attract Russophile votes, including from "Vazrazhdane" and the Bulgarian Socialist Party. The reaction of the PP-DB to declare that it does not want to govern with the coalition around Radev is natural, said the political scientist, adding that this will definitely cause polarization and would complicate the dialogue for joint governance.
According to Assoc. Prof. Lyubenov, a minority cabinet would not be a good formula or a good solution, and the prospects for such a cabinet would not be good.